SIMON SAYS: Could he be LPGs own French yellow vest protestor!

Submitted by Simon Hill on Thu, 10/03/2019 - 17:00

Lionel Charveriat, (74), has become one of the father figures in the LPG industry. After a number of years on the trading side with Gazocean, he decided to move into broking and now heads up Libra Fearnleys in Paris. He still finds time to pick up the phone to broker his next deal and his views of the industry are normally forthright, but here I want to try and find out a bit more about him, the person!

SIMON SAYS: Africa – Probably the final frontier!

Submitted by Simon Hill on Wed, 10/02/2019 - 17:00

Today, nearly 1.3 billion people are living in the 54 countries that make up the continent of Africa, and by 2025 it is expected to surpass the population of the mighty China. But it’s also the world’s poorest inhabited continent, with a combined GDP that makes up less than a third of the GDP of the U.S., and although there has been economic optimism in the last few years, it’s fragile to say the least.

SIMON SAYS: Where are the White Knights (not the Great Whites) when you need them?

Submitted by Simon Hill on Tue, 10/01/2019 - 17:00

There is one thing for certain about the production of LPG in the world, and especially in the U.S., it’s the fact that LPG just doesn’t call the shots, it never has. Therefore, any reliability in future LPG production numbers lays very much in the hands of the oil and gas producers, especially those that have led the U.S. shale revolution over the last decade.

SIMON SAYS: Saudi Contract Pricing – If you can’t beat’em, join’em

Submitted by Simon Hill on Mon, 09/30/2019 - 17:00

In yesterday’s SIMON SAYS we started to explore the Saudi Aramco Contract Price (CP) and asked the question “how do parties really make money from CP related contracts out of the Middle East?” We went a little way down memory lane, but what seemed to be the answer, maybe not the only answer, lay in the end year activities, both calendar and fiscal, of the Japanese LPG importers and the value of the product they hold in storage.

SIMON SAYS: CP – What goes up...must go even higher

Submitted by Simon Hill on Sun, 09/29/2019 - 17:00

I’ve always found it difficult to understand how on earth anyone makes money with an LPG purchase deal based on Saudi Aramco’s Contract Price (CP). In fact, I’ve rarely found anyone else who knows how it’s done either. But around this time of year, every year, CP becomes the talk of the market, as if it possesses this mesmerizing draw, sucking in believers and non-believers by the score.

SIMON SAYS: Complexity and Confusion

Submitted by Simon Hill on Thu, 09/26/2019 - 16:32

It really seems as if the LPG market has tried to move towards a greater degree of homogeneity in recent years, especially in the face of a market that has become far more multifaceted, truly global, more transparent, and increasingly influenced by corporate performance, in relation to stock market valuations. But I think the complexities and differences are far more exciting!

SIMON SAYS: Taiwan – how we love a good Tender!

Submitted by Simon Hill on Wed, 09/25/2019 - 05:00

It has to be over twenty years ago since I last set foot in Taiwan, and I must have met with both CPC and FPC, but my memory pretty much stops there. I do, though, remember visiting a company called LCY Chemicals, I don’t think they have been featured in the LPG import business into Taiwan since, but they did have an import facility in Zhenjiang, China, but only for smaller pressurised LPG cargoes.

SIMON SAYS: What makes ship owners smile?

Submitted by Simon Hill on Tue, 09/24/2019 - 17:00

There’s nothing that makes a ship owner smile more than seeing a decent number of ships getting fixed in the market, of course the grin widens if the rates are also edging up, and if the levels are jumping up, well I’ll leave that one for you to decide. As all eyes last week were focused on the consequences of the drone attack at Saudi Arabia’s key crude oil processing facility in Abqaiq, charterers hesitated for a while, but not for that long.

SIMON SAYS: What happens next – cargo hunting States side!

Submitted by Simon Hill on Mon, 09/23/2019 - 17:00

Yesterday I explored the implications for LPG as a result of last week’s drone attack on the Abqaiq crude processing facility in Saudi Arabia, that the damage is probably far greater than has been explained so far, and that Saudi Arabia’s current focus is on security, crude oil and the impending IPO of Aramco.

SIMON SAYS: What Happens Next?

Submitted by Simon Hill on Sun, 09/22/2019 - 17:00

The start of last week was all about crude oil, geopolitical issues in the Middle East, and the usual ups and downs of the energy markets. We kept an eye on what levels crude oil prices reached or fell to, adjusting LPG prices accordingly, but it was easy to get sucked-in to the big picture, and maybe not get the LPG portion into a proper perspective.